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Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market By Type (HEFA, FT-SPK, ATJ, BTL), By Blending Capacity (<30%, >30%), By End-use (Airline, Government/Military), and By Region; Global Insights & Forecast (2024 – 2030)

Published: December, 2024  
|   Report ID: EP3402  
|   Energy and Power

As per Intent Market Research, the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market was valued at USD 1.3 billion in 2023-e and will surpass USD 19.1 billion by 2030; growing at a CAGR of 46.8% during 2024 - 2030.

The Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) market is poised for substantial growth as the aviation industry seeks to reduce its carbon footprint and meet stringent environmental regulations. SAF, derived from renewable resources such as biomass, waste oils, and other feedstocks, presents a viable alternative to conventional jet fuels. With increasing pressure from governments, environmental organizations, and consumers for greener travel solutions, the demand for SAF is expected to escalate significantly over the next decade. This market is characterized by rapid technological advancements and a growing network of production facilities aimed at enhancing fuel supply and reducing costs.

Biofuels Segment is Fastest Growing Owing to Technological Innovations

Within the SAF market, the biofuels segment stands out as the fastest-growing sub-segment, fueled by continuous advancements in technology and an increasing number of production facilities dedicated to biofuel generation. Biofuels, produced from organic materials such as agricultural residues, forestry waste, and non-food crops, offer a renewable and lower-emission alternative to fossil fuels. Innovations in the conversion processes, such as advanced fermentation and gasification technologies, are significantly improving the efficiency of biofuel production, making it more economically viable.

The rapid expansion of biofuel facilities globally is a testament to its promising future. Countries like the United States and Brazil are leading in biofuel production, driven by supportive policies and investments. With airlines increasingly committing to sustainability targets, the demand for biofuels is expected to surge, aligning with global efforts to achieve carbon neutrality in aviation by 2050. The growing acceptance of biofuels as a drop-in replacement for conventional jet fuel further enhances its potential in the SAF market.

Power-to-Liquid Segment is Largest Owing to its Sustainability Benefits

The Power-to-Liquid (PtL) segment represents the largest sub-segment within the SAF market, primarily due to its significant sustainability benefits and ability to utilize renewable energy sources effectively. PtL fuels are produced by converting renewable electricity into synthetic hydrocarbons, which can be used as aviation fuel. This process not only reduces greenhouse gas emissions but also contributes to the stabilization of energy supply through the storage of excess renewable energy.

The establishment of PtL facilities is gaining momentum, particularly in regions with abundant renewable energy resources, such as Northern Europe. Countries like Germany and Norway are at the forefront of developing PtL technologies, leveraging wind and solar power to produce sustainable aviation fuels. As airlines strive to achieve ambitious climate goals, the attractiveness of PtL fuels is enhanced by their compatibility with existing aircraft engines and infrastructure, making them a focal point in the transition towards a more sustainable aviation sector.

Synthetic Fuels Segment is Fastest Growing Owing to Environmental Regulations

The synthetic fuels segment is experiencing rapid growth within the SAF market, driven largely by stringent environmental regulations and the aviation industry's commitment to sustainability. Synthetic fuels are created through processes that convert carbon dioxide and hydrogen into hydrocarbons, offering a closed-loop system that can potentially achieve carbon neutrality. This innovative approach is gaining traction as airlines and governments focus on achieving net-zero emissions.

The increasing collaboration between energy companies and aviation stakeholders is propelling the synthetic fuels segment forward. Major airlines are investing in synthetic fuel projects, anticipating that these fuels will play a crucial role in their long-term sustainability strategies. As regulatory frameworks become more supportive and technology continues to advance, the synthetic fuels segment is poised for significant growth in the coming years, positioning itself as a key player in the SAF market.

Regional Focus: North America is the Largest Region Owing to Investment and Innovation

North America stands out as the largest region in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel market, driven by substantial investments in SAF research and production. The region is home to several leading airlines and fuel companies actively pursuing SAF initiatives. The U.S. government has implemented various policies to support the development and adoption of sustainable fuels, including tax incentives and funding for research projects aimed at advancing SAF technologies.

The presence of a robust infrastructure for biofuel and synthetic fuel production further enhances North America's position in the SAF market. Collaborations between universities, research institutions, and private companies are fostering innovation and creating a conducive environment for the growth of SAF. As airlines commit to ambitious sustainability targets, the demand for SAF is expected to continue rising in North America, making it a critical region in the global landscape of sustainable aviation fuels.

Competitive Landscape of the Sustainable Aviation Fuel Market

The competitive landscape of the Sustainable Aviation Fuel market is characterized by a diverse range of companies, from established oil and gas firms to emerging startups focused on innovative fuel technologies. Key players in the market include companies like Neste, TotalEnergies, and LanzaTech, all of which are heavily investing in research and development to enhance their SAF offerings and increase production capacity. These companies are also forming strategic partnerships with airlines and government agencies to promote the adoption of SAF.

The competitive dynamics are further influenced by the need for regulatory compliance and sustainability targets set by various governments worldwide. As the market matures, companies are focusing on expanding their production facilities and improving the cost-effectiveness of SAF to meet the growing demand. The landscape is expected to evolve with ongoing technological advancements, leading to increased competition among existing players and the entry of new participants seeking to capitalize on the opportunities within the sustainable aviation fuel market.

Report Objectives

The report will help you answer some of the most critical questions in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market. A few of them are as follows:

  1. What are the key drivers, restraints, opportunities, and challenges influencing the market growth?
  2. What are the prevailing technology trends in the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) market?
  3. What is the size of the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market based on segments, sub-segments, and regions?
  4. What is the size of different market segments across key regions: North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Latin America, and Middle East & Africa?
  5. What are the market opportunities for stakeholders after analyzing key market trends?
  6. Who are the leading market players and what are their market share and core competencies?
  7. What is the degree of competition in the market and what are the key growth strategies adopted by leading players?
  8. What is the competitive landscape of the market, including market share analysis, revenue analysis, and a ranking of key players?

Report Scope:

Report Features

Description

Market Size (2023-e)

USD 1.3 billion

Forecasted Value (2030)

USD 19.1 billion

CAGR (2024-2030)

46.8%

Base Year for Estimation

2023-e

Historic Year

2022

Forecast Period

2024-2030

Report Coverage

Market Forecast, Market Dynamics, Competitive Landscape, Recent Developments

Segments Covered

Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market By Type (HEFA, FT-SPK, ATJ, BTL), By Blending Capacity (<30%, >30%), By End-use (Airline, Government/Military)

Regional Analysis

North America (US, Canada), Europe (Germany, France, UK, Spain, Italy & Rest of Europe), Asia Pacific (China, Japan, South Korea, India, and rest of Asia Pacific), Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, & Rest of Latin America), Middle East & Africa (Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, & Rest of MEA)

Customization Scope

Customization for segments, region/country-level will be provided. Moreover, additional customization can be done based on the requirements

1.Introduction

1.1.Market Definition

1.2.Scope of the Study

1.3.Research Assumptions

1.4.Study Limitations

2.Research Methodology

2.1.Research Approach

2.1.1.Top-Down Method

2.1.2.Bottom-Up Method

2.1.3.Factor Impact Analysis

2.2.Insights & Data Collection Process

2.2.1.Secondary Research

2.2.2.Primary Research

2.3.Data Mining Process

2.3.1.Data Analysis

2.3.2.Data Validation and Revalidation

2.3.3.Data Triangulation

3.Executive Summary

3.1.Major Markets & Segments

3.2.Highest Growing Regions and Respective Countries

3.3.Impact of Growth Drivers & Inhibitors

3.4.Regulatory Overview by Country 

4.Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market, by Type (Market Size & Forecast: USD Billion, 2024 – 2030)

4.1.Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA)

4.2.Fischer-Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK)

4.3.Alcohol-to-Jet (ATJ)

4.4.Biomass-to-Liquid (BTL)

4.5.Synthesized Iso-Paraffin from Renewable Aviation Kerosene (SIPRA)

4.6.Power-to-Liquid (PtL)

4.7.Others

5.Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market, by Blending Capacity (Market Size & Forecast: USD Billion, 2024 – 2030)

5.1.<30%

5.2.>30%

6.Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market, by End-user (Market Size & Forecast: USD Billion, 2024 – 2030)

6.1.Airline

6.2.Government/Military

6.3.Others

7.Regional Analysis (Market Size & Forecast: USD Billion, 2024 – 2030)

7.1.Regional Overview

7.2.North America

7.2.1.Regional Trends & Growth Drivers

7.2.2.Barriers & Challenges

7.2.3.Opportunities

7.2.4.Factor Impact Analysis

7.2.5.Technology Trends

7.2.6.North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market, by Type

7.2.7.North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market, by Blending Capacity

7.2.8.North America Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market, by End-user

           *Similar segmentation will be provided at each regional level

7.3.By Country

7.3.1.US

7.3.1.1.US Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market, by Type

7.3.1.2.US Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market, by Blending Capacity

7.3.1.3.US Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market, by End-user

7.3.2.Canada

                  *Similar segmentation will be provided at each country level

7.4.Europe

7.5.APAC

7.6.Latin America

7.7.Middle East & Africa

8.Competitive Landscape

8.1.Overview of the Key Players

8.2.Competitive Ecosystem

8.2.1.Platform Manufacturers

8.2.2.Subsystem Manufacturers

8.2.3.Service Providers

8.2.4.Software Providers

8.3.Company Share Analysis

8.4.Company Benchmarking Matrix

8.4.1.Strategic Overview

8.4.2.Product Innovations

8.5.Start-up Ecosystem

8.6.Strategic Competitive Insights/ Customer Imperatives

8.7.ESG Matrix/ Sustainability Matrix

8.8.Manufacturing Network

8.8.1.Locations

8.8.2.Supply Chain and Logistics

8.8.3.Product Flexibility/Customization

8.8.4.Digital Transformation and Connectivity

8.8.5.Environmental and Regulatory Compliance

8.9.Technology Readiness Level Matrix

8.10.Technology Maturity Curve

8.11.Buying Criteria

9.Company Profiles

9.1.Lanzatech

9.1.1.Company Overview

9.1.2.Company Financials

9.1.3.Product/Service Portfolio

9.1.4.Recent Developments

9.1.5.IMR Analysis

      *Similar information will be provided for other companies 

9.2.TotalEnergies

9.3.World Energy

9.4.Velocys

9.5.Aemetis

9.6.SAF+ Consortium

9.7.Prometheus Fuels

9.8.Skynrg

9.9.BP

9.10.Neste

10.Appendix

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A comprehensive market research approach was employed to gather and analyze data on the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market. In the process, the analysis was also done to estimate the parent market and relevant adjacencies to major the impact of them on the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market. The research methodology encompassed both secondary and primary research techniques, ensuring the accuracy and credibility of the findings.

Research Approach - Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market

Secondary Research

Secondary research involved a thorough review of pertinent industry reports, journals, articles, and publications. Additionally, annual reports, press releases, and investor presentations of industry players were scrutinized to gain insights into their market positioning and strategies.

Primary Research

Primary research involved conducting in-depth interviews with industry experts, stakeholders, and market participants across the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) ecosystem. The primary research objectives included:

  • Validating findings and assumptions derived from secondary research
  • Gathering qualitative and quantitative data on market trends, drivers, and challenges
  • Understanding the demand-side dynamics, encompassing end-users, component manufacturers, facility providers, and service providers
  • Assessing the supply-side landscape, including technological advancements and recent developments

Market Size Estimation

A combination of top-down and bottom-up approaches was utilized to estimate the overall size of the Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market. These methods were also employed to estimate the size of various sub-segments within the market. The market size estimation methodology encompassed the following steps:

  1. Identification of key industry players and relevant revenues through extensive secondary research
  2. Determination of the industry's supply chain and market size, in terms of value, through primary and secondary research processes
  3. Calculation of percentage shares, splits, and breakdowns using secondary sources and verification through primary sources

Bottom Up and Top Down - Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) Market

Data Triangulation

To ensure the accuracy and reliability of the market size estimates, data triangulation was implemented. This involved cross-referencing data from various sources, including demand and supply side factors, market trends, and expert opinions. Additionally, top-down and bottom-up approaches were employed to validate the market size estimates.

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